EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 10, 2023 at 7pm UK
Brunton Park
Carlisle0 - 2Forest U21s
FT(HT: 0-0)
Powell (69'), Perry (77')
McAdam (90+7')
McAdam (90+7')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Carlisle United and Nottingham Forest Under-21s.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bolton 1-3 Carlisle
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Newcastle U21s 1-1 Forest U21s
Friday, September 29 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Friday, September 29 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 22.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
54.16% ( 0.33) | 23.17% ( 0.2) | 22.67% ( -0.53) |
Both teams to score 55.02% ( -1.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.78% ( -1.46) | 45.22% ( 1.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.44% ( -1.41) | 67.56% ( 1.41) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.39% ( -0.41) | 16.61% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.57% ( -0.73) | 46.43% ( 0.73) |
Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.98% ( -1.28) | 34.02% ( 1.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.29% ( -1.4) | 70.71% ( 1.4) |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United 54.16%
Nottingham Forest Under-21s 22.67%
Draw 23.16%
Carlisle United | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
1-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.16% Total : 54.16% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.16% | 0-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.19% Total : 22.67% |
How you voted: Carlisle vs Forest U21s
Carlisle United
76.2%Draw
9.5%Nottingham Forest Under-21s
14.3%21
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-10 16:51:38
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Chelsea | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
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