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Premier League 2 - Div 1
Feb 9, 2024 at 7pm UK
Bodymoor Heath Training Ground

Aston Villa U21s
2 - 1
Everton U21s

Moore (8'), Kellyman (69')
Alcock (20'), Rowe (61'), Lynch (76'), Jimoh (77'), Wright (81'), Borland (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Djankpata (50')
Djankpata (79')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Aston Villa Under-21s and Everton Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spurs U21s 5-3 Aston Villa U21s
Saturday, January 27 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Everton U21s 1-1 Man City U21s
Monday, January 29 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 48.81%. A win for Everton Under-21s had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Everton Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aston Villa Under-21s in this match.

Result
Aston Villa Under-21sDrawEverton Under-21s
48.81% (-0.214 -0.21) 21.47% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 29.72% (0.196 0.2)
Both teams to score 68.26% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.13% (0.039000000000001 0.04)30.87% (-0.040000000000003 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.77% (0.045999999999999 0.05)52.23% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.73% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)13.26% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.94% (-0.107 -0.11)40.06% (0.106 0.11)
Everton Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7% (0.131 0.13)21.29% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.77% (0.204 0.2)54.23% (-0.204 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Under-21s 48.81%
    Everton Under-21s 29.72%
    Draw 21.47%
Aston Villa Under-21sDrawEverton Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.76% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-0 @ 5.71% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.64% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.88% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.03% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.34% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 48.81%
1-1 @ 8.83% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 6.89% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.82% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.39% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 21.47%
1-2 @ 6.83% (0.026 0.03)
0-1 @ 4.37% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.56% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.52% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.38% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.74% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.38% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.36% (0.016 0.02)
3-4 @ 0.93% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 29.72%

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