MX23RW : Friday, May 17 22:15:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 26
Apr 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium

Al-Ahli
1 - 0
Al Ittihad

Albirakan (34')
Al-Asmari (6'), Majrashi (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Al-Amri (79'), Al-Sagour (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al Ittihad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Ettifaq 2-2 Al-Ahli
Friday, March 29 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 3-1 Al Fayha
Friday, March 29 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Ahli 1-1 Al Ittihad

There is little to pick between the sides heading into Monday's contest, which could easily head either way. We can see both teams matching each other over the course of the 90 minutes to settle for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Al-Ahli in this match.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl Ittihad
44.02% (0.503 0.5) 25.25% (-0.134 -0.13) 30.73% (-0.368 -0.37)
Both teams to score 55.24% (0.271 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.8% (0.433 0.43)48.2% (-0.432 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.64% (0.397 0.4)70.35% (-0.39400000000001 -0.39)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.12% (0.41800000000001 0.42)21.88% (-0.416 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.87% (0.631 0.63)55.13% (-0.629 -0.63)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.71% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)29.29% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.75% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)65.25% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 44.02%
    Al Ittihad 30.73%
    Draw 25.24%
Al-AhliDrawAl Ittihad
1-0 @ 9.74% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.058 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.4% (0.053 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.6% (0.086 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.75% (0.073 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.053 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.045 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 44.02%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.41% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 7.87% (-0.148 -0.15)
1-2 @ 7.34% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.83% (-0.095 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.98% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 30.73%

How you voted: Al-Ahli vs Al Ittihad

Al-Ahli
57.9%
Draw
26.3%
Al Ittihad
15.8%
19
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 9
Al Ittihad
0-1
Al-Ahli

Fabinho (35'), Coronado (75')
Kessie (31')
Jaissle (36'), Mendy (61'), Mahrez (70'), Veiga (86'), Aljohani (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal32293096217590
2Al-Nassr32253494385678
3Al-AhliAl-Ahli31177761342758
4Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun311410748341452
5Al Ittihad32156115749851
6Al Ettifaq32111294233945
7Al Fayha321110114350-743
8Al Fateh32119125351242
9Al ShababAl Shabab31118124238441
10Damac321010124240240
11Al Khaleej32910133443-937
12Al RaedAl Raed3298154048-835
13Al WahdaAl Wahda32105174357-1435
14Al Tai3287173359-2631
15Al Riyadh3179152853-2530
16Al Okhdood3285193051-2129
17Abha3185183479-4529
18Al Hazem31311173072-4220


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