MX23RW : Friday, May 10 21:06:31| >> :600:2851761:2851761:
Accrington Stanley
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Wham Stadium

Accrington
1 - 2
Forest U21s

Adedoyin (58')
Woods (21'), Adedoyin (49'), Devonport (75')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Thompson (18'), Larsson (39')
Perry (35'), Konate (72'), Abbott (84'), Bott (90+6')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Accrington Stanley and Nottingham Forest Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Accrington 2-0 Wrexham
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in League Two

Nottingham Forest Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Forest U21s 2-2 Wolves U21s
Friday, November 3 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 50.63%. A win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawNottingham Forest Under-21s
50.63% (-2.335 -2.34) 22.74% (0.407 0.41) 26.63% (1.924 1.92)
Both teams to score 60.92% (0.561 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.57% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)39.42% (0.137 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.23% (-0.147 -0.15)61.76% (0.141 0.14)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.24% (-0.84699999999999 -0.85)15.76% (0.845 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.12% (-1.586 -1.59)44.88% (1.582 1.58)
Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32% (1.376 1.38)27.68% (-1.38 -1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.77% (1.734 1.73)63.23% (-1.739 -1.74)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 50.63%
    Nottingham Forest Under-21s 26.63%
    Draw 22.74%
Accrington StanleyDrawNottingham Forest Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.132 -0.13)
1-0 @ 8.06% (-0.187 -0.19)
2-0 @ 7.45% (-0.4 -0.4)
3-1 @ 5.89% (-0.26 -0.26)
3-0 @ 4.59% (-0.391 -0.39)
3-2 @ 3.78% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.72% (-0.204 -0.2)
4-0 @ 2.12% (-0.249 -0.25)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.06 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 50.63%
1-1 @ 10.35% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 6.14% (0.152 0.15)
0-0 @ 4.36% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.62% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.74%
1-2 @ 6.65% (0.351 0.35)
0-1 @ 5.6% (0.246 0.25)
0-2 @ 3.6% (0.289 0.29)
1-3 @ 2.85% (0.253 0.25)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.162 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.54% (0.177 0.18)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.113 0.11)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 26.63%

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