MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 04:36:36| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Mansfield Town
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Salford City
Stockport County
Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
Championship header 2

League Two
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 38
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Harrogate Town

Newport
2 - 3
Harrogate

Bogle (3', 79')
Bennett (39'), Evans (61'), Waite (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Folarin (5'), Thomson (9'), Armstrong (83')
Sims (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Newport County and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Doncaster 1-3 Newport
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two

Harrogate Town

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 3-1 Harrogate
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 1-1 Harrogate Town

 Harrogate need just one more point to confirm their status as a League Two side for next season, and we expect them to get it, considering Newport have nothing to play for at this point. The Exiles have looked more solid in recent weeks, but they have struggled at home for the vast majority of the season, and that record is likely to continue on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 49.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawHarrogate Town
49.77% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 25.36% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 24.87% (-0.023 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.62% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.76% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)52.24% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.06% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)73.94% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.99% (0.0020000000000095 0)21.01% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)53.78% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.08% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)35.92% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.3% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)72.7% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 49.77%
    Harrogate Town 24.87%
    Draw 25.35%
Newport CountyDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 11.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.19% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.89% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.91%
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 49.77%
1-1 @ 12.05%
0-0 @ 7.54% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 7.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.87%

How you voted: Newport vs Harrogate

Newport County
80.0%
Draw
10.0%
Harrogate Town
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
gameweek 6
Harrogate
0-4
Newport
Bogle (4', 44'), Ramsay (9' og.), Nevers (22')
Drysdale (47'), Waite (51')
Jan 15, 2022 12.30pm
gameweek 27
Newport
4-0
Harrogate
Demetriou (8' pen.), Telford (43', 49'), Baker-Richardson (55')
Cooper (22'), Norman (47')

Falkingham (8'), Armstrong (20'), Diarra (40')
Sep 10, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 7
Harrogate
2-2
Newport
Muldoon (34'), Armstrong (43')
Bennett (3'), Willmott (38')
Demetriou (85')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
gameweek 27
Harrogate
2-1
Newport
March (34'), Martin (66')
March (44'), Burrell (82')
Gambin (17')
Shephard (73')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
gameweek 10
Newport
2-1
Harrogate
Amond (30'), Cooper (88')
Smith (44')
Kerry (14'), Falkingham (23'), Jones (75')
Falkingham (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442
> League Two Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!