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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 29
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Barnsley

Stevenage
2 - 1
Barnsley

Reid (45+2'), Butler (51')
List (75'), Thompson (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Phillips (30')
Durand de Gevigney (12'), McCart (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stevenage and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Stevenage
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 2-1 Barnsley
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 1-1 Barnsley

The two sides have enjoyed similar first halves to the League One season, and while Barnsley boast more quality, the hosts have continuously punched above their weight this term and should at least be able to take a share of the spoils on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawBarnsley
37.07% (0.037999999999997 0.04) 26.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 36.43% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 52.55% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.69% (0.036000000000001 0.04)52.31% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26% (0.032 0.03)74% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.68% (0.040000000000006 0.04)27.32% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.23% (0.049999999999997 0.05)62.77% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3%27.69% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.75%63.25%
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 37.07%
    Barnsley 36.43%
    Draw 26.5%
StevenageDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 9.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.37% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.54% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.76% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 37.07%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 7.57% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 9.71% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 6.24% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 36.43%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Barnsley

Stevenage
36.4%
Draw
29.5%
Barnsley
34.1%
44
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Barnsley
2-1
Stevenage
McAtee (32'), Kane (70')
Connell (66'), Kane (81'), Cotter (90+7')
Wildin (4')
Butler (67')
rhs 2.0
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8.30pm
Nadal
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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