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Barnsley
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Carlisle United
Charlton Athletic
Cheltenham Town
Derby logo
Exeter City
Fleetwood Town
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Northampton Town
Oxford United
Peterborough United
Port Vale
Portsmouth
Reading logo
Shrewsbury Town
Stevenage
Wigan logo
Wycombe Wanderers
Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Lincoln City

Exeter
2 - 1
Lincoln

Nombe (33', 73')
Hartridge (50'), Key (69'), Stansfield (72'), Blackman (88')
Hartridge (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
O'Connor (19')
O'Connor (81'), House (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wycombe 1-1 Exeter
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-0 Lincoln
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-1 Lincoln City

Lincoln's unbeaten run suggests they are hard to beat, so we think they will have enough quality to earn a point on Saturday. There is not a lot to split the two teams, and the last two meetings between the sides have also resulted in a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawLincoln City
43.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 27.01% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 29.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 49.31% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.33% (0.0020000000000024 0)55.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.17% (0.0010000000000012 0)76.82% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.41% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)25.59% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.53% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)60.47%
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.27% (0.0049999999999955 0)33.73% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.61% (0.0039999999999978 0)70.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 43.11%
    Lincoln City 29.88%
    Draw 27%
Exeter CityDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 11.76%
2-1 @ 8.71%
2-0 @ 8.02% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-1 @ 3.96%
3-0 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 43.11%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 8.63% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.74%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27%
0-1 @ 9.38%
1-2 @ 6.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.1% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.52%
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 29.88%

How you voted: Exeter vs Lincoln

Exeter City
33.3%
Draw
11.1%
Lincoln City
55.6%
9
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Lincoln
1-1
Exeter
Hopper (49')
Sorensen (90+2')
Nombe (14')
Sweeney (32'), Dieng (58')
Feb 26, 2019 7.45pm
Lincoln
1-1
Exeter
Akinde (96')
Bostwick (53'), Bolger (87'), Rhead (90')
Jay (22')
Pym (92')
Sep 1, 2018 3pm
Exeter
0-3
Lincoln

Stockley (13'), Taylor (22'), Martin (45'), Martin (74'), Boateng (90')
Frecklington (43'), Akinde (45'), Brown (56' og.)
Andrade (23')
May 17, 2018 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Exeter
3-1
Lincoln
Stockley (27'), Boateng (47'), Harley (69')
Stockley (89'), Moxey (90')
Green (78')
Eardley (18'), Bostwick (83')
May 12, 2018 3pm
Semi-Finals
Lincoln
0-0
Exeter

Palmer (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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