Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Nagoya Grampus.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 2-0 Jubilo Iwata
Sunday, August 7 at 11am in J1 League
Sunday, August 7 at 11am in J1 League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 38 | 9 | 63 |
7 | Sagan Tosu | 38 | 8 | 59 |
8 | Avispa Fukuoka | 38 | 5 | 54 |
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 3-0 Urawa
Saturday, August 6 at 11am in J1 League
Saturday, August 6 at 11am in J1 League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Kashima Antlers | 38 | 26 | 69 |
5 | Nagoya Grampus | 38 | 14 | 66 |
6 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 38 | 9 | 63 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 46.88%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 25.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 0-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sagan Tosu | Draw | Nagoya Grampus |
46.88% ( 2.64) | 27.49% ( -0.57) | 25.63% ( -2.07) |
Both teams to score 45.27% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.48% ( 0.86) | 59.52% ( -0.86) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.13% ( 0.66) | 79.87% ( -0.65) |
Sagan Tosu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.56% ( 1.74) | 25.44% ( -1.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.73% ( 2.31) | 60.27% ( -2.31) |
Nagoya Grampus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.72% ( -1.29) | 39.28% ( 1.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.02% ( -1.23) | 75.98% ( 1.23) |
Score Analysis |
Sagan Tosu 46.87%
Nagoya Grampus 25.63%
Draw 27.49%
Sagan Tosu | Draw | Nagoya Grampus |
1-0 @ 13.67% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.6) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.27) 3-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.47) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.22) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.14% Total : 46.87% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.49% | 0-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.65) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.47) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.46% Total : 25.63% |
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2022 5am
Jul 17, 2021 11am
Sagan Tosu
3-1
Nagoya Grampus
Nakano (48'), Sakai (51'), Koyamatsu (80')
Nakano (41')
Nakano (41')
Apr 18, 2021 7am
Nov 3, 2020 4am
Sagan Tosu
0-0
Nagoya Grampus
Xavier (85')
Jul 18, 2020 10am
Nagoya Grampus
1-0
Sagan Tosu
Toyoda (55'), Alves (64')
Alves (83')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-08 19:13:42
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Machida Zelvia | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 35 |
2 | Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 35 |
3 | Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 31 |
4 | Vissel KobeVissel Kobe | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 26 |
6 | FC Tokyo | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 26 |
7 | Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 25 |
9 | Cerezo OsakaCerezo | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 25 |
10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 25 |
11 | Tokyo Verdy | 17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
12 | Kashiwa ReysolReysol | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Yokohama F MarinosYokohama | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 20 |
14 | Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 20 |
15 | Albirex Niigata | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 19 |
16 | Jubilo Iwata | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Sagan Tosu | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 14 |
18 | Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 14 |
19 | Kyoto Sanga | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 11 |
20 | Consadole SapporoConsadole | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 36 | -20 | 11 |
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