MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 13:17:14| >> :60:404:404:
Slovenia national football team
International Friendly
Nov 20, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadion Stožice
Montenegro national football team

Slovenia
1 - 0
Montenegro

Zajc (42')
Gnezda Cerin (27'), Verbic (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tomasevic (55'), Vukcevic (64'), Krstovic (70'), Scekic (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's International Friendlies clash between Slovenia and Montenegro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Romania 1-2 Slovenia
Thursday, November 17 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Montenegro 2-2 Slovakia
Thursday, November 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies

We said: Slovenia 1-1 Montenegro

With both nations having avoided defeat in competitive fixtures earlier this week, confidence is growing heading into this match. With that in mind, we feel that a low-scoring share of the spoils is most likely as they look to avoid defeat before the start of their Euro 2024 qualification campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Slovenia in this match.

Result
SloveniaDrawMontenegro
41.54% (-10.353 -10.35) 27.28% (4.184 4.18) 31.18% (6.17 6.17)
Both teams to score 49.08% (-8.988 -8.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.76% (-13.766 -13.77)56.24% (13.766 13.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.71% (-12.408 -12.41)77.28% (12.407 12.41)
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.32% (-10.249 -10.25)26.67% (10.249 10.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.08% (-15.829 -15.83)61.92% (15.831 15.83)
Montenegro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.93% (-2.545 -2.54)33.07% (2.546 2.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.33% (-2.918 -2.92)69.66% (2.918 2.92)
Score Analysis
    Slovenia 41.53%
    Montenegro 31.18%
    Draw 27.27%
SloveniaDrawMontenegro
1-0 @ 11.65% (2.595 2.6)
2-1 @ 8.52% (-1.183 -1.18)
2-0 @ 7.7% (-0.476 -0.48)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-2.09 -2.09)
3-0 @ 3.39% (-1.532 -1.53)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-1.391 -1.39)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-1.399 -1.4)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-1.103 -1.1)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 41.53%
1-1 @ 12.89% (2.15 2.15)
0-0 @ 8.82% (3.807 3.81)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-1.043 -1.04)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 9.76% (3.811 3.81)
1-2 @ 7.14% (0.76 0.76)
0-2 @ 5.4% (1.87 1.87)
1-3 @ 2.63% (0.11 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.99% (0.596 0.6)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.539 -0.54)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 31.18%

How you voted: Slovenia vs Montenegro

Slovenia
48.1%
Draw
37.0%
Montenegro
14.8%
27
Head to Head
Jun 2, 2018 7.15pm
Montenegro
0-2
Slovenia

Vesovic (45'), Mugosa (67')
Bezjak (39' pen.), Zajc (79')
Kurtic (40'), Mevlja (44'), Sporar (54'), Jokic (69')
rhs 2.0
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