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FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Craven Cottage
Sunderland

Fulham
1 - 1
Sunderland

Cairney (61')
Wilson (45+4'), Kurzawa (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Clarke (6')
Alese (43'), Batth (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Fulham and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham 0-1 Spurs
Monday, January 23 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Middlesbrough
Sunday, January 22 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Fulham 2-0 Sunderland

A Sunderland side with a taste for goals undoubtedly possess the tools to hurt Fulham, but the hosts are rarely overwhelmed defensively and have far fewer injury concerns to worry about here. Even if things do go pear-shaped, Silva is blessed with several high-quality options off the bench, and we can only picture the Cottagers marching onto the fifth round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
FulhamDrawSunderland
41.88% (-0.358 -0.36) 24.73% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 33.39% (0.309 0.31)
Both teams to score 58.09% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.04% (-0.137 -0.14)44.96% (0.136 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.68% (-0.133 -0.13)67.31% (0.13199999999999 0.13)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.5% (-0.227 -0.23)21.5% (0.226 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.45% (-0.349 -0.35)54.55% (0.348 0.35)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74% (0.12 0.12)26% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.98% (0.162 0.16)61.02% (-0.163 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Fulham 41.88%
    Sunderland 33.39%
    Draw 24.72%
FulhamDrawSunderland
2-1 @ 8.9% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.59% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.6% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.38% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 41.88%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.59% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.72%
1-2 @ 7.8% (0.047 0.05)
0-1 @ 7.53% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.07% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.5% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.69% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.28% (0.037 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.015 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 33.39%

How you voted: Fulham vs Sunderland

Fulham
78.9%
Draw
7.0%
Sunderland
14.0%
57
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2018 7.45pm
Fulham
2-1
Sunderland
Piazon (45'), Mitrovic (76')
Bettinelli (90'), Kamara (96')
Asoro (28')
O'Shea (45'), Fletcher (61'), Steele (62'), McManaman (90')
Dec 16, 2017 3pm
Feb 3, 2015 7.45pm
Jan 24, 2015 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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