MX23RW : Monday, May 20 03:52:27| >> :600:208884:208884:
Slovan Bratislava
Europa Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadion Pasienky

Slovan Bratislava
0 - 1
Sturm Graz


Strelec (45+4'), Kashia (54')
Blackman (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Biereth (52')
Lavalee (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Slovan Bratislava and Sturm Graz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 4-1 Zlate Moravce
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Slovak First Football League

We said: Slovan Bratislava 2-3 Sturm Graz (Sturm Graz win 7-3 on aggregate)

Slovan Bratislava will certainly come out all guns blazing in search of goals to turn the tie around on Thursday, but Sturm Graz have the stronger squad and should take advantage. We fancy Christian Ilzer's side to prevail again on the night and progress to the final 16 with a dominant aggregate triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovan Bratislava win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 37.5% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovan Bratislava win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result
Slovan BratislavaDrawSturm Graz
37.55% (0.119 0.12) 24.95% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 37.5% (-0.127 -0.13)
Both teams to score 57.94% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.57% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)45.42% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.24% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)67.76% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Slovan Bratislava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.13% (0.045999999999992 0.05)23.86% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.94% (0.067 0.07)58.06% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.1% (-0.085000000000008 -0.09)23.89% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.9% (-0.121 -0.12)58.1% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Slovan Bratislava 37.55%
    Sturm Graz 37.5%
    Draw 24.95%
Slovan BratislavaDrawSturm Graz
2-1 @ 8.38% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.17% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.85% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 4% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.8% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 37.55%
1-1 @ 11.69%
2-2 @ 6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.7% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.95%
1-2 @ 8.37% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.16% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.79% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 37.5%

How you voted: Slovan Bratislava vs Sturm Graz

Slovan Bratislava
32.7%
Draw
16.3%
Sturm Graz
51.0%
49
Head to Head
Feb 15, 2024 5.45pm
Knockout Round Playoffs 1st Leg
Sturm Graz
4-1
Slovan Bratislava
Biereth (4'), Gorenc Stankovic (27'), Kiteishvili (64' pen.), Camara (90+1')
Gazibegovic (77')
Rodrigues (8')
Zmrhal (44'), Rodrigues (77')
j. Weiss (78'), Weiss (78')
rhs 2.0
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