After losing 6-0 in the reverse fixture, HJK will be hoping to put up a better fight this time around, but while we believe that Thursday's contest will produce a closer scoreline, we still expect Frankfurt to claim maximum points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 49.97%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.
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