Europa Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 11, 2024 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
Aston Villa2 - 1Lille
The Match
Match Report
Aston Villa record a 2-1 win over Lille in the first leg of their Europa Conference League quarter-final tie on Thursday night.
Team News
Unai Emery selects his Aston Villa XI for the first leg of the Europa Conference League quarter-final against Lille.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Aston Villa and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-3 Brentford
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Lille 3-1 Marseille
Friday, April 5 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Friday, April 5 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Lille had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aston Villa in this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Lille |
38.8% ( 0.04) | 24.66% ( 0.01) | 36.55% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 58.98% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.93% ( -0.04) | 44.07% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.55% ( -0.04) | 66.45% ( 0.04) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.39% ( -0) | 22.61% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.77% | 56.23% ( -0) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.21% ( -0.05) | 23.79% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.06% ( -0.06) | 57.94% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa 38.8%
Lille 36.55%
Draw 24.65%
Aston Villa | Draw | Lille |
2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.8% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.65% | 1-2 @ 8.25% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.73% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 36.55% |
How you voted: Aston Villa vs Lille
Aston Villa
68.5%Draw
22.6%Lille
8.9%124
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-30 10:37:09
10am
Putintseva
Rybakina
Rybakina
11.30am
Swiatek
Haddad Maia
Haddad Maia
7pm
Keys
Jabeur
Jabeur
10am
Medvedev
Bublik
Bublik
10am
Rublev
Griekspoor
Griekspoor
11.30am
Hurkacz
Fritz
Fritz
1pm
Cerundolo
Zverev
Zverev
2.30pm
Sinner
Khachanov
Khachanov
3pm
Struff
Alcaraz
Alcaraz
4pm
Auger-Aliassime
Ruud
Ruud
8.30pm
Nadal
Lehecka
Lehecka
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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