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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 53.27%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 24.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
53.27% | 22.36% | 24.36% |
Both teams to score 59.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.25% | 39.76% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.89% | 62.11% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.02% | 14.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.59% | 43.41% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.42% | 29.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.39% | 65.61% |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-1 @ 9.73% 1-0 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 7.99% 3-1 @ 6.16% 3-0 @ 5.05% 3-2 @ 3.75% 4-1 @ 2.92% 4-0 @ 2.4% 4-2 @ 1.78% 5-1 @ 1.11% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.07% Total : 53.27% | 1-1 @ 10.24% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 4.43% 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.36% | 1-2 @ 6.24% 0-1 @ 5.4% 0-2 @ 3.29% 1-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.17% Total : 24.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 103 | 17 | 86 | 84 |
2 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 24 | 56 | 75 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 55 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 42 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
10 | Heerenveen | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 36 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 35 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 33 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
14 | Heracles | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 24 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 68 | -46 | -1 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |