MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 19:19:30| >> :600:2672540:2672540:
Swindon Town
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 20, 2022 at 7pm UK
The County Ground
Plymouth Argyle

Swindon
1 - 3
Plymouth

Hepburn-Murphy (90+1')
Iandolo (24'), Khan (41')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Jenkins-Davies (28'), Halls (30'), Hardie (88')
Cosgrove (45+2'), Whittaker (66'), Butcher (90')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Swindon Town and Plymouth Argyle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Doncaster 0-1 Swindon
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two

Plymouth Argyle

Last Six:
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-2 Plymouth
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 47.42%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
47.42% (0.013999999999996 0.01) 24.04% (0.0030000000000001 0) 28.53% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.95% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.95% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)44.04% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.57% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)66.43% (0.02600000000001 0.03)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.28% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)18.72% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.92% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)50.08% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.29% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)28.71% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.47% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)64.53% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 47.42%
    Plymouth Argyle 28.53%
    Draw 24.04%
Swindon TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.54% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 1.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 47.42%
1-1 @ 11.23%
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-0 @ 5.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.04%
1-2 @ 7.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 28.53%

How you voted: Swindon vs Plymouth

Swindon Town
42.9%
Draw
0.0%
Plymouth Argyle
57.1%
7
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2021 7pm
Plymouth
1-3
Swindon
Agard (24')
Tomlinson (90+2')
Gillesphey (20' og.), Mitchell-Lawson (74'), McKirdy (84')
Baudry (29')
Jan 26, 2021 7pm
Swindon
0-2
Plymouth
Camara (36'), Hardie (67')
Nov 3, 2020 7pm
Plymouth
4-2
Swindon
Jephcott (6', 25'), Edwards (7'), Grant (89')
Fornah (14'), Hardie (76')
Hope (10'), Grant (23')
Payne (4'), Smith (38'), Smith (62')
Smith (45+4')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Plymouth
1-2
Swindon
Telford (22')
Edwards (45')
Jaiyesimi (35'), Doyle (77')
Grant (15'), Hunt (25'), Lyden (48'), Doyle (78'), Yates (79')
> Match Report
Oct 12, 2019 3pm
Swindon
1-1
Plymouth
Doyle (45')
Grant (49'), Baudry (56'), Lyden (67'), Doyle (89')
Grant (76')
Riley (42'), Canavan (79'), Mayor (84')
rhs 2.0
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