EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 20, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
We said: Peterborough United 1-0 Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s
With neither side on top of their game right now and losing players to international duty, fireworks are unlikely to fly at the London Road Stadium, but Jonson Clarke-Harris in particular will need no second invitation to exploit a depleted Spurs backline.
Attacking the wide areas should lead to significant success for Peterborough, with Tottenham particularly light in that area, and we can envisage Posh ending their winless streak at the expense of Spurs'.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 69.26%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s had a probability of 13.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 3-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.43%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result |
| Peterborough United | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s |
69.26% ( 0.04) | 16.9% ( -0.02) | 13.84% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.97% ( 0.02) |
| 69.37% ( 0.05) | 30.63% ( -0.05) |
| 48.05% ( 0.06) | 51.95% ( -0.06) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| 91.99% ( 0.02) | 8.01% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 71.77% ( 0.06) | 28.23% ( -0.05) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s Goals |
| 65.19% ( 0.01) | 34.81% ( -0.01) |
