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Wycombe Wanderers
Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 16, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Adams Park
Derby logo

Wycombe
1 - 2
Derby

Ikpeazu (48' pen.)
Allsop (16'), Stewart (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ikpeazu (16' og.), Wisdom (90+4')
Mengi (63'), Wisdom (69')

Preview: Wycombe Wanderers vs. Derby County - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Wycombe Wanderers and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Bottom-of-the-table Wycombe Wanderers welcome Derby County to Adams Park on Tuesday evening looking to build on their dramatic win over Huddersfield Town.

Meanwhile, Derby head into this contest on the back of four victories from five matches, the latest coming against Middlesbrough at the weekend.


Match preview

Derby County manager Wayne Rooney pictured on February 13, 2021© Reuters

Ahead of the meeting with Boro on Saturday afternoon, Wayne Rooney was aware that he faced the difficult task of lifting his players after their 3-0 reverse at Rotherham United.

Having had over a week to stew on that disappointment was less than ideal for the Rams, but two first-half goals helped the club to an excellent 2-1 win over the promotion hopefuls.

For Rooney, it was justification for not over-reacting to the biggest setback of his short stint at Pride Park, and his side now sit three points clear of the relegation zone.

The England legend will now do everything possible to ensure that complacency does not become an issue, particularly with several mid-table teams beginning to falter.

The addition of Colin Kazim-Richards was heavily criticised upon his arrival earlier in the season, but the veteran now has six goals for the season after his wonder-strike on Saturday.

Facing a 2-0 deficit at Huddersfield on Saturday, Wycombe boss Gareth Ainsworth could have been forgiven for thinking that the club's season was realistically all but over.

However, the remarkable comeback has breathed new life into Wycombe's campaign, the result reducing the margin to safety to 10 points.

The Chairboys will require more than the odd result in isolation to have any chance of survival at the second tier, but overcoming the Terriers was proof that his squad of players are still giving everything to the cause.

The return from injury of Joe Jacobson could prove to be key, although the veteran left-back requires assistance from his teammates if Wycombe are to pull off the unthinkable later in the season.

Wycombe Wanderers Championship form: LLDLLW
Wycombe Wanderers form (all competitions): LLDLLW

Derby County Championship form: LWWWLW


Team News

Wycombe Wanderers manager Gareth Ainsworth pictured in September 2020© Reuters

Ainsworth could stick with the same Wycombe XI after their welcome victory at Huddersfield.

Jordan Obita is an alternative to Jacobson, who came through 73 minutes on his first appearance in almost a month.

Rooney may also feel inclined to name the team which got the better of Middlesbrough at the weekend.

Max Bird could replace Lee Gregory if Rooney reverts to using three central midfielders, but the likes of Beni Baningime and Patrick Roberts will have to wait for their first starts.

Wycombe Wanderers possible starting lineup:
Allsop; Grimmer, Stewart, Tafazolli, Jacobson; Wheeler, Knight, Mehmeti; McCleary, Ikpeazu, Horgan

Derby County possible starting lineup:
Marshall; Byrne, Wisdom, Clarke, Buchanan; Waghorn, Knight, Shinnie, Jozwiak; Kazim-Richards, Gregory


SM words green background

We say: Wycombe Wanderers 1-2 Derby County

Wycombe will naturally be full of confidence after the scenes at the John Smith's Stadium at the weekend. Nevertheless, we feel that Derby's more measured approach will be the difference here, the visitors well equipped to edge a close match against their relegation rivals.


Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 49.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 23.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Wycombe Wanderers win it was 1-0 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.


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Middlesbrough manager Neil Warnock pictured in February 2021
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