Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 23, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo
Penarol0 - 1Nacional
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 55.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 21.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Penarol | Draw | Nacional |
55.75% | 23.23% | 21.04% |
Both teams to score 52.58% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.64% | 47.36% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.42% | 69.58% |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.18% | 16.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.2% | 46.81% |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.22% | 36.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.43% | 73.58% |
Score Analysis |
Penarol 55.75%
Nacional 21.04%
Draw 23.22%
Penarol | Draw | Nacional |
1-0 @ 11.03% 2-1 @ 9.83% 2-0 @ 9.83% 3-0 @ 5.84% 3-1 @ 5.84% 3-2 @ 2.92% 4-1 @ 2.6% 4-0 @ 2.6% 4-2 @ 1.3% 5-0 @ 0.93% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.09% Total : 55.75% | 1-1 @ 11.03% 0-0 @ 6.19% 2-2 @ 4.92% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.22% | 0-1 @ 6.19% 1-2 @ 5.52% 0-2 @ 3.09% 1-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.64% 0-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.73% Total : 21.04% |
How you voted: Penarol vs Nacional
Penarol
75.0%Draw
8.3%Nacional
16.7%24
Head to Head
Jul 16, 2021 1.30am
Jul 4, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 9
Nacional
2-0
Penarol
Dec 13, 2020 8.30pm
Gameweek 7
Penarol
3-2
Nacional
Formiliano (28'), Terans (37'), Nahuelpan (88')
Herrera (38'), Kagelmacher (57'), Bravo (68'), Torres (82'), Urreta (90')
Herrera (38'), Kagelmacher (57'), Bravo (68'), Torres (82'), Urreta (90')
Aug 9, 2020 7pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-08 21:00:37
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Chelsea | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
> Premier League Full Table |
1
Arsenal scouts 'very impressed after watching 41-goal striker'
2
Real Madrid 2-1 Bayern
3
Man United 'to receive financial boost after Dortmund reach CL final'
4
Hollyoaks character killed off in shock twist
5
Galatasaray 'set to complete permanent signing of Chelsea attacker'
6
Man Utd could receive triple injury boost for Arsenal clash
7
Man United 'want La Liga goalkeeper to replace Onana'
8
Real Madrid 'favourites to sign £128m-rated star in 2025'
9
Man United 'willing to accept cut-price offers for 31-year-old'
10
The top 20 most dramatic injury-time winners in football history
Sport News 24/7