MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 05:09:29| >> :120:7317:7317:
Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 7, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Guarani
0 - 1
Sportivo


Servio (19'), Manzur (32'), Cantero (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fernandez (87')
Rios (30'), Comas (76')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Guarani and Sportivo Luqueno.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guarani

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Guarani 0-0 Botafogo
Wednesday, August 9 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Sportivo Luqueno

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Defensa 1-1 Sportivo
Wednesday, November 4 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guarani win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Sportivo Luqueno had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guarani win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Sportivo Luqueno win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
GuaraniDrawSportivo Luqueno
39.02% (0.16800000000001 0.17) 26.12% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 34.86% (-0.144 -0.14)
Both teams to score 53.69% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.2% (0.073999999999998 0.07)50.8% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.31% (0.064 0.06)72.69% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Guarani Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.48% (0.122 0.12)25.52% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.62% (0.168 0.17)60.37% (-0.168 -0.17)
Sportivo Luqueno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.09% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)27.91% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.47% (-0.067 -0.07)63.53% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Guarani 39.02%
    Sportivo Luqueno 34.86%
    Draw 26.11%
GuaraniDrawSportivo Luqueno
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.48% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.64% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.86% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.02% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 39.02%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.12% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.11%
0-1 @ 9.09% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.92% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.8% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.37% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.47% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 34.86%

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