Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Aug 18, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Parque
Palmeiras3 - 0Sao Paulo
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 51.44%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
Result | ||
Palmeiras | Draw | Sao Paulo |
51.44% | 23.85% | 24.72% |
Both teams to score 55.21% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.89% | 46.11% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.59% | 68.41% |
Palmeiras Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.06% | 17.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.24% | 48.77% |
Sao Paulo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.28% | 32.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.72% | 69.28% |
Score Analysis |
Palmeiras 51.43%
Sao Paulo 24.72%
Draw 23.84%
Palmeiras | Draw | Sao Paulo |
1-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.68% 2-0 @ 8.67% 3-1 @ 5.54% 3-0 @ 4.96% 3-2 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 2.38% 4-0 @ 2.13% 4-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.56% Total : 51.43% | 1-1 @ 11.26% 0-0 @ 5.87% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.84% | 0-1 @ 6.56% 1-2 @ 6.29% 0-2 @ 3.66% 1-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 2.01% 0-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.48% Total : 24.72% |
How you voted: Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
52.5%Draw
15.0%Sao Paulo
32.5%40
Head to Head
Aug 11, 2021 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Sao Paulo
1-1
Palmeiras
Feb 20, 2021 12.30am
Oct 10, 2020 11pm
Oct 30, 2019 10.30pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-21 01:11:44
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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