Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 27, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria
LDU Quito3 - 1Velez Sarsfield
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.85%) and 2-0 (5.23%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.
Result | ||
LDU Quito | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
41.92% | 22.51% | 35.56% |
Both teams to score 66.97% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.38% | 33.61% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.57% | 55.43% |
LDU Quito Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.24% | 16.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.3% | 46.69% |
Velez Sarsfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.45% | 19.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.55% | 51.45% |
Score Analysis |
LDU Quito 41.92%
Velez Sarsfield 35.56%
Draw 22.51%
LDU Quito | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
2-1 @ 8.53% 1-0 @ 5.85% 2-0 @ 5.23% 3-1 @ 5.08% 3-2 @ 4.15% 3-0 @ 3.11% 4-1 @ 2.27% 4-2 @ 1.85% 4-0 @ 1.39% 4-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.47% Total : 41.92% | 1-1 @ 9.55% 2-2 @ 6.96% 0-0 @ 3.28% 3-3 @ 2.26% Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.51% | 1-2 @ 7.8% 0-1 @ 5.35% 0-2 @ 4.37% 1-3 @ 4.24% 2-3 @ 3.79% 0-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.73% 2-4 @ 1.55% 0-4 @ 0.97% 3-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.48% Total : 35.56% |
How you voted: LDU Quito vs Velez Sarsfield
LDU Quito
52.2%Draw
17.4%Velez Sarsfield
30.4%23
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-29 00:40:30
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
> Premier League Full Table |
1
Chelsea 'trigger contract extension for attacker'
2
Brighton 'to open talks with ex-Chelsea manager this week'
3
Bournemouth 'eyeing move for outgoing Liverpool defender'
4
Italy U17s vs. England U17s - prediction, team news, lineups
5
Liverpool, Chelsea handed boost in pursuit of 22-year-old attacker?
6
Dortmund 'join race for Sancho's Man Utd teammate'
7
Aston Villa 'reach full agreement to re-sign 30-year-old midfielder'
8
Liverpool 'set £20m asking price for Brentford, Southampton target'
9
Burnley 'eyeing Champions League coach as Kompany replacement'
10
Speculation cools as Ferrari ends pursuit of Newey
Sport News 24/7