Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 24, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Independiente Medellin and Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente Medellin would win this match.
Result |
Independiente Medellin | Draw | Nacional |
45.29% ( 0.01) | 26.45% ( -0.01) | 28.26% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.05% ( 0.01) |
45.71% ( 0.02) | 54.29% ( -0.02) |
24.31% ( 0.01) | 75.68% ( -0.02) |
Independiente Medellin Goals |
76.1% ( 0.01) | 23.89% ( -0.02) |