Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 10, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Banco Guayaquil
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Independiente del Valle and San Lorenzo.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 58.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 16.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.76%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente del Valle would win this match.
Result |
Independiente del Valle | Draw | San Lorenzo |
58.86% ( 0.05) | 24.84% ( -0.04) | 16.3% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 40.36% ( 0.08) |
40.5% ( 0.12) | 59.5% ( -0.11) |
20.14% ( 0.09) | 79.86% ( -0.09) |
Independiente del Valle Goals |
79.79% ( 0.06) | 20.21% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.47% ( 0.1) | 52.53% ( -0.1) |
50.58% ( 0.06) | 49.41% ( -0.06) |