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Copa Libertadores WWW header

Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 19, 2022 at 1am UK
Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo

Tachira
3 - 0
Independiente Petrolero

Hernandez (22', 28'), Simisterra (90+2')
Hernandez (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Rioja (32'), Campos (57'), Florencianez (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Deportivo Tachira and Independiente Petrolero, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Tachira

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Last Game: Palmeiras 4-1 Tachira
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Tachira vs. Santos
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Independiente Petrolero

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Last Game: Emelec 7-0 Independiente Petrolero
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
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We said: Deportivo Tachira 3-1 Independiente Petrolero

 Although Deportivo Tachira have lost both of their home matches in the tournament so far, with Independiente Petrolero currently struggling on their travels after conceding at least three goals in four of their last five away matches in all competitions, we think that the hosts will emerge victorious from Wednesday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Tachira win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Independiente Petrolero had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Tachira win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.75%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Independiente Petrolero win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Deportivo Tachira would win this match.

Result
Deportivo TachiraDrawIndependiente Petrolero
41.48% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 23.3% (0.0030000000000001 0) 35.21% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 63.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)37.69% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.06% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)59.93% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Deportivo Tachira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.37% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)18.62% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.07% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)49.93% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Independiente Petrolero Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)21.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.33%54.66% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Deportivo Tachira 41.48%
    Independiente Petrolero 35.21%
    Draw 23.3%
Deportivo TachiraDrawIndependiente Petrolero
2-1 @ 8.7%
1-0 @ 6.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 5.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.88% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.74% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 41.48%
1-1 @ 10.35%
2-2 @ 6.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.91%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.3%
1-2 @ 7.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.06% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 3.41%
0-3 @ 2.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.31%
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 35.21%

How you voted: Tachira vs Independiente Petrolero

Deportivo Tachira
100%
Draw
0.0%
Independiente Petrolero
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2022 11.15pm
Independiente Petrolero
1-2
Tachira
Campos (45')
Erick Correa (3'), Ali (17'), Aviles (32'), Gimenez (33'), Medina (60')
Aviles (84')
Uribe (44'), Simisterra (65')
Varela (3'), Garces (36')
rhs 2.0
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