Copa Libertadores | Second Round
Mar 19, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Atletico Nacional3 - 0Guarani
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Atletico Nacional and Club Guarani.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Club Guarani had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Club Guarani win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Nacional | Draw | Club Guarani |
| 37.91% | 27.47% | 34.62% |
| Both teams to score 49.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
