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Flamengo
Copa do Brasil | Round of 16
Nov 5, 2020 at 12.30am UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
Athletico Paranaense

Flamengo
3 - 2
Athletico PR

Pedro (24', 34'), Michael (84')
Pereira (6'), Maia (41')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Erick (41'), Bissoli (88')
Vinicius (39'), Ravanelli (51')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Round of 16 clash between Flamengo and Athletico Paranaense.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 17.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawAthletico Paranaense
60.03%22.6%17.37%
Both teams to score 48.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.18%49.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.18%71.81%
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.8%16.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.31%45.69%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.75%42.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.35%78.65%
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 60.01%
    Athletico Paranaense 17.37%
    Draw 22.59%
FlamengoDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 12.45%
2-0 @ 11.33%
2-1 @ 9.77%
3-0 @ 6.88%
3-1 @ 5.93%
4-0 @ 3.13%
4-1 @ 2.7%
3-2 @ 2.55%
4-2 @ 1.16%
5-0 @ 1.14%
5-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 60.01%
1-1 @ 10.73%
0-0 @ 6.85%
2-2 @ 4.21%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 22.59%
0-1 @ 5.9%
1-2 @ 4.62%
0-2 @ 2.54%
1-3 @ 1.33%
2-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 17.37%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2020 12.30am
Round of 16
Athletico PR
0-1
Flamengo
Oct 4, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 13
Flamengo
3-1
Athletico PR
Pedro (56'), Henrique (59' pen.), Ribeiro (77')
Noga (26'), Luis (45'), Henrique (67')
Kayzer (67')
Erick (26'), Richard (65'), Martins (90'), Christian (90')
Oct 13, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 25
Athletico PR
0-2
Flamengo

Cittadini (66'), Heleno (76')
Henrique (45', 91')
Ribeiro (32'), Thuler (54'), Henrique (59'), Vitinho (90')
May 26, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 6
Flamengo
3-2
Athletico PR
Barbosa (32' pen.), Henrique (90'), Caio (96')
Diego (34'), Henrique (70'), Para (79'), Caio (97')
Cirino (64', 72')
Santos (28'), Wellington (83'), Azevedo (97')
Dec 1, 2018 9pm
Gameweek 38
Flamengo
1-2
Athletico PR
Rhodolfo (23')
Piris (34'), Para (66'), Arao (76'), Paqueta (83')
Arao (83')
Rossetto (65'), Rony (71')
Martins (37')
Rony (84')
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