CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Nov 18, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Independence Park
Jamaica1 - 2Canada
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guatemala 0-0 Jamaica
Sunday, November 12 at 12am in International Friendlies
Sunday, November 12 at 12am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Japan 4-1 Canada
Friday, October 13 at 11.35am in International Friendlies
Friday, October 13 at 11.35am in International Friendlies
Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Guatemala | 3 | 2 | 7 |
2 | Canada | 3 | 2 | 5 |
3 | Guadeloupe | 3 | 2 | 4 |
4 | Cuba | 3 | -6 | 0 |
We said: Jamaica 1-1 Canada
The surfaces in Jamaica have been notoriously difficult to play on, which might be a break for both defensive units, who have each struggled. These are two evenly matched sides, each with attacking quality, but we expect to see more of a cagey affair, and given the two-leg format neither will want to expend too much energy, as the conditions in Jamaica may be relatively humid. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Canada had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Canada win was 0-1 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Jamaica | Draw | Canada |
37.65% ( -0.27) | 28.38% ( 0.19) | 33.96% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 46.53% ( -0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.25% ( -0.68) | 59.75% ( 0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.95% ( -0.53) | 80.05% ( 0.53) |
Jamaica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.41% ( -0.5) | 30.59% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.18% ( -0.6) | 66.82% ( 0.6) |
Canada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.04% ( -0.3) | 32.96% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.46% ( -0.34) | 69.54% ( 0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Jamaica 37.65%
Canada 33.95%
Draw 28.38%
Jamaica | Draw | Canada |
1-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.26% Total : 37.65% | 1-1 @ 13.25% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.38% | 0-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.58% Total : 33.95% |
How you voted: Jamaica vs Canada
Jamaica
29.2%Draw
35.4%Canada
35.4%48
Head to Head
Jul 11, 2015 11.30pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-30 05:05:21
10am
Medvedev
Bublik
Bublik
10am
Rublev
Griekspoor
Griekspoor
11.30am
Hurkacz
Fritz
Fritz
1pm
Cerundolo
Zverev
Zverev
2.30pm
Sinner
Khachanov
Khachanov
3pm
Struff
Alcaraz
Alcaraz
4pm
Auger-Aliassime
Ruud
Ruud
8.30pm
Nadal
Lehecka
Lehecka
10am
Putintseva
Rybakina
Rybakina
11.30am
Swiatek
Haddad Maia
Haddad Maia
7pm
Keys
Jabeur
Jabeur
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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