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Championship | Gameweek 11
Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Sunderland

Watford
2 - 2
Sunderland

Davis (34'), O'Nien (62' og.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Alese (45'), Bennette (87')
Roberts (59'), Evans (61'), Bennette (88'), Matete (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 2-0 Watford
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 0-3 Sunderland
Wednesday, September 14 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-1 Sunderland

Sunderland will feel confident about taking advantage of what appears to be a lack of confidence and harmony in the Watford ranks. However, the Hornets still possess quality players, leading us to predict a competitive draw being played out at Vicarage Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
WatfordDrawSunderland
45.21% (-3.311 -3.31) 26.33% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 28.46% (3.349 3.35)
Both teams to score 50.55% (2.629 2.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.29% (2.171 2.17)53.71% (-2.171 -2.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.8% (1.796 1.8)75.2% (-1.797 -1.8)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.32% (-0.608 -0.61)23.68% (0.608 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.21% (-0.885 -0.88)57.79% (0.884 0.88)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.23% (3.94 3.94)33.77% (-3.943 -3.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.57% (4.056 4.06)70.43% (-4.057 -4.06)
Score Analysis
    Watford 45.21%
    Sunderland 28.46%
    Draw 26.32%
WatfordDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 11.52% (-1.24 -1.24)
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-0 @ 8.3% (-1.059 -1.06)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-0 @ 3.99% (-0.589 -0.59)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.173 0.17)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.242 -0.24)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 45.21%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 8% (-0.705 -0.71)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.44 0.44)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.32%
0-1 @ 8.68% (0.196 0.2)
1-2 @ 6.79% (0.721 0.72)
0-2 @ 4.71% (0.575 0.58)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.484 0.48)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.323 0.32)
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.36 0.36)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 28.46%

How you voted: Watford vs Sunderland

Watford
42.9%
Draw
31.4%
Sunderland
25.7%
35
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2017 3pm
Watford
1-0
Sunderland
Britos (59')
Capoue (93')

Jones (72'), Khazri (77'), Kone (78')
Dec 17, 2016 3pm
Feb 12, 2005 3pm
Sunderland
4-2
Watford
Stewart (18', 51', 33' pen.), Brown (73')

Jackson (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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