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Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Cardiff City logo

Norwich
2 - 0
Cardiff

Sara (33'), Marquinhos (37')
Nunez (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Kipre (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 3-1 Birmingham
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Reading
Friday, February 17 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-1 Cardiff City

Despite the difference in league positions, this should prove to be a competitive fixture with Cardiff having seemingly turned a corner under Lamouchi. Nevertheless, so have Norwich under Wagner, and we feel that the Canaries will edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 16.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.18%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawCardiff City
59.25% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 23.9% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 16.85% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 43.75% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.48% (0.038000000000004 0.04)55.52% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.3% (0.032 0.03)76.7% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.47% (0.024000000000001 0.02)18.53% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.23% (0.041999999999994 0.04)49.77% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.7% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)46.29% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.05% (0.0040000000000013 0)81.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 59.24%
    Cardiff City 16.85%
    Draw 23.89%
Norwich CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 14.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.18%
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.22% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 59.24%
1-1 @ 11.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.58% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.62% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 23.89%
0-1 @ 6.61% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 2.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.1%
2-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 16.85%

How you voted: Norwich vs Cardiff

Norwich City
81.3%
Draw
10.4%
Cardiff City
8.3%
48
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Cardiff
1-0
Norwich
Sawyers (49')
Kipre (44'), O'Dowda (54'), Ralls (69'), Ng (69'), Rinomhota (69')
Ng (73')

Hanley (68')
Hanley (85')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Cardiff
1-2
Norwich
Ralls (65')
Bacuna (34'), Pack (54'), Hoilett (57'), Wilson (89')
Pack (70')
Hanley (3'), Cantwell (22')
Dec 19, 2020 12.30pm
Norwich
2-0
Cardiff
Buendia (27'), Cantwell (70')

Nelson (54'), Ojo (57'), Bacuna (82'), Wilson (90+5')
Aug 28, 2018 7.45pm
Second Round
Cardiff
1-3
Norwich
Ecuele Manga (77')
Richards (40'), Damour (73')
Srbeny (26', 64'), Aarons (69')
Stiepermann (29'), Aarons (79')
Apr 14, 2018 3pm
Norwich
0-2
Cardiff

Murphy (90')
Zohore (86'), Hoilett (90')
Damour (44'), Peltier (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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