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Championship | Gameweek 17
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Den
West Brom logo

Millwall
2 - 1
West Brom

Styles (38'), Burey (90')
Mitchell (31')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Swift (20')
O'Shea (68'), Bartley (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 3-0 Watford
Wednesday, October 19 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 0-2 Bristol City
Tuesday, October 18 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 3-1 West Bromwich Albion

Although West Brom possess the quality to post a second away win in succession, it is difficult to ignore Millwall's recent run of results. As the only team to have posted maximum points for three matches, we feel that the Lions will extend that streak at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.82%) and 2-1 (7.57%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (11.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawWest Bromwich Albion
39.18% (0.0040000000000049 0) 29.86% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 30.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 41.94% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.93% (0.007000000000005 0.01)65.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)83.94% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)32.36% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)68.87% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.01% (0.0010000000000048 0)37.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)74.75% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 39.17%
    West Bromwich Albion 30.96%
    Draw 29.85%
MillwallDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 13.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-1 @ 7.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 39.17%
1-1 @ 13.42%
0-0 @ 12.29%
2-2 @ 3.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 29.85%
0-1 @ 11.9%
1-2 @ 6.5%
0-2 @ 5.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 30.96%

How you voted: Millwall vs West Brom

Millwall
76.9%
Draw
5.8%
West Bromwich Albion
17.3%
52
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
West Brom
1-1
Millwall
Bartley (49')
Kipre (20')
Ballard (55')
Mitchell (43'), Wallace (60'), Smith (90+3')
Aug 13, 2019 8pm
Aug 10, 2019 3pm
West Brom
1-1
Millwall
Pearce (57' og.)
Ajayi (67')
Smith (75')
Wallace (62'), Thompson (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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