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Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Leverkusen logo

Hoffenheim
1 - 3
B. Leverkusen

Nsoki (77')
Geiger (28'), Brooks (36'), Akpoguma (50')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Andrich (6'), Diaby (46'), Hlozek (56')
Frimpong (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 5-2 Hoffenheim
Saturday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen

Buoyed by the arrival of a new manager, the Hoffenheim players are bound to up their game in order to impress Matarazzo, but they could struggle to claim all three points on Saturday. Although Bayer Leverkusen have lost each of their last two Bundesliga matches, they have won five of their previous seven, meaning that they will confident of avoiding defeat at the PreZero Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawBayer Leverkusen
45.22% (0.074000000000005 0.07) 23.81% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 30.97% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 60.31% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.39% (0.052 0.05)41.61% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.98% (0.051000000000002 0.05)64.01% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.35% (0.051999999999992 0.05)18.65% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.03% (0.088000000000001 0.09)49.97% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.14% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)25.86% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.16% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)60.84% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 45.22%
    Bayer Leverkusen 30.97%
    Draw 23.81%
HoffenheimDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.8% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.15% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.16% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 45.22%
1-1 @ 10.95% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.82% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.81%
1-2 @ 7.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.52% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.41% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.8%
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 30.97%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs B. Leverkusen

Hoffenheim
25.6%
Draw
30.2%
Bayer Leverkusen
44.2%
43
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
0-3
Hoffenheim

Diaby (56')
Baumgartner (9'), Kramaric (35'), Rutter (78')
Kabak (57'), Rutter (74'), Angelino (83'), Akpoguma (86')
May 7, 2022 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
2-4
B. Leverkusen
Rutter (22'), Baumgartner (36')
Dabour (66')
Schick (34', 76'), Diaby (73'), Alario (90+1')
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Hoffenheim
Schick (37', 63')
Diaby (21'), Odilon (60'), Tapsoba (85'), Hincapie (86')
Diaby (90+2')
Stiller (80'), Dabour (83')
Rudy (21'), Raum (28'), Dabour (88')
Dec 13, 2020 5pm
B. Leverkusen
4-1
Hoffenheim
Bailey (4', 27'), Wirtz (55'), Alario (90+1' pen.)
Diaby (31'), Sinkgraven (35'), Amiri (74')
Baumgartner (50')
Grillitsch (38'), Posch (58'), Vogt (74'), Nordtveit (90+1')
Grillitsch (64'), Posch (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
3Stuttgart32214773393467
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg32109134957-839
10Heidenheim32911124553-838
11Werder Bremen32108144352-938
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz32514133350-1729
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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