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Goias
Brasileiro | Gameweek 16
Jul 10, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estadio da Serrinha
Athletico Paranaense

Goias
2 - 1
Athletico PR

Raul (5'), Nicolas (39')
Barcelos (53'), Bastos (64')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Terans (61' pen.)
Felipe (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Goias and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Goias

Last Six:
Last Game: America Mineiro 1-0 Goias
Sunday, July 3 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Athletico Paranaense

Last Six:
Last Game: Libertad 1-1 Athletico PR
Wednesday, July 6 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

We said: Goias 1-1 Athletico Paranaense

 Athletico score at a rate of one goal per game when away from home in Serie A, while Goias find the net at a similar rate on home soil. While the hosts lack the firepower to upset their visitors by ending an impressive unbeaten run, they can grind out a draw thanks to a decent defensive record at Estadio da Serrinha. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goias win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Goias win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Goias would win this match.

Result
GoiasDrawAthletico Paranaense
40.16% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 28.55% (0.004999999999999 0) 31.29% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 45.49% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.23% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)60.77% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.18% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)80.82% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Goias Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)29.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.36% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)65.64% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)35.38% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)72.14%
Score Analysis
    Goias 40.16%
    Athletico Paranaense 31.29%
    Draw 28.54%
GoiasDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 12.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.06% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.76% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.7%
4-1 @ 1%
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 40.16%
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 10.47%
2-2 @ 4.19%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.54%
0-1 @ 10.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.38%
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 31.29%

How you voted: Goias vs Athletico PR

Goias
10.7%
Draw
25.0%
Athletico Paranaense
64.3%
28
Head to Head
Nov 14, 2020 8pm
Goias
0-1
Athletico PR

Duarte (28'), Chico (40'), Moura (76'), Pintado (85'), Fernandao (90')
Kayzer (20')
Nikao (34')
Aug 12, 2020 11.15pm
Athletico PR
2-1
Goias
Vitinho (32'), Eduardo (76')
Moreira (42'), Heleno (45+11'), Halter (59')
Bessa (45+13' pen.)
Bessa (21'), Vaz (89'), Andrade (90+2')
Oct 27, 2019 7pm
Athletico PR
4-1
Goias
Pereira (48'), Rony (53'), Adriano (62'), Ruben (94')
Khellven (16')
Moura (45')
Breno (53')
Jun 14, 2019 12am
Goias
2-1
Athletico PR
Kayke (6'), Barcia (32')
Jefferson (15')
Vaz (92' og.)
Rony (8'), Martins (54'), Guimaraes (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR641193613
2Bahia641196313
3FlamengoFlamengo632175211
4Botafogo6312127510
5Sao Paulo6312106410
6Cruzeiro531187110
7Atletico Mineiro52309369
8BragantinoBragantino62317619
9PalmeirasPalmeiras62223308
10FortalezaFortaleza51405417
11InternacionalInternacional42114317
12Gremio42024316
13Vasco da GamaVasco6204611-56
14CriciumaCriciuma31206245
15JuventudeJuventude412157-25
16Corinthians612335-25
17Fluminense6123812-45
18Vitoria5014511-61
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO501428-61
20Cuiaba4004010-100
> Brasileiro Full Table


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