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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Jul 16, 2022 at 5pm UK
 

Barracas Central
1 - 3
Argentinos Jrs

Bandiera (22')
Arce (5'), Rodriguez (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vera (16' pen., 82'), Herrera (90+1')
Di Cesare (28'), Vera (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Barracas Central and Argentinos Juniors, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Talleres 0-2 Barracas Central
Sunday, July 10 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
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Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 2-1 Tigre
Tuesday, July 12 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Barracas Central 1-2 Argentinos Juniors

Both teams have blown hot and cold in recent weeks, and Saturday's contest could easily swing either way. That said, the away side boast a more experienced squad at this level, and we are tipping them to just pip the hosts to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 58.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 17.82%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.5%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 1-0 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.

Result
Barracas CentralDrawArgentinos Juniors
17.82% (-3.934 -3.93) 23.47% (-1.767 -1.77) 58.71% (5.7 5.7)
Both teams to score 46.68% (-0.88 -0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.44% (1.969 1.97)52.56% (-1.972 -1.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.78% (1.665 1.67)74.22% (-1.666 -1.67)
Barracas Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.67% (-3.204 -3.2)43.32% (3.201 3.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.43% (-2.801 -2.8)79.56% (2.8 2.8)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.36% (2.937 2.94)17.64% (-2.939 -2.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.76% (4.867 4.87)48.24% (-4.87 -4.87)
Score Analysis
    Barracas Central 17.82%
    Argentinos Juniors 58.7%
    Draw 23.47%
Barracas CentralDrawArgentinos Juniors
1-0 @ 6.39% (-1.147 -1.15)
2-1 @ 4.64% (-0.805 -0.81)
2-0 @ 2.67% (-0.769 -0.77)
3-1 @ 1.29% (-0.364 -0.36)
3-2 @ 1.12% (-0.188 -0.19)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 17.82%
1-1 @ 11.09% (-0.83 -0.83)
0-0 @ 7.64% (-0.615 -0.62)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.278 -0.28)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 23.47%
0-1 @ 13.25% (0.2 0.2)
0-2 @ 11.5% (1.19 1.19)
1-2 @ 9.62% (0.199 0.2)
0-3 @ 6.65% (1.215 1.22)
1-3 @ 5.57% (0.599 0.6)
0-4 @ 2.89% (0.737 0.74)
1-4 @ 2.41% (0.451 0.45)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.061 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.114 0.11)
0-5 @ 1% (0.322 0.32)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 58.7%

How you voted: Barracas Central vs Argentinos Jrs

Barracas Central
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Argentinos Juniors
50.0%
6
rhs 2.0
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