Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 50.87%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Adelaide United |
50.87% | 22.71% | 26.41% |
Both teams to score 60.82% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.53% | 39.47% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.18% | 61.81% |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.3% | 15.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.24% | 44.75% |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.14% | 27.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.53% | 63.46% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-1 @ 9.58% 1-0 @ 8.1% 2-0 @ 7.5% 3-1 @ 5.92% 3-0 @ 4.63% 3-2 @ 3.78% 4-1 @ 2.74% 4-0 @ 2.14% 4-2 @ 1.75% 5-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.73% Total : 50.87% | 1-1 @ 10.34% 2-2 @ 6.12% 0-0 @ 4.37% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.71% | 1-2 @ 6.61% 0-1 @ 5.59% 0-2 @ 3.57% 1-3 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 2.61% 0-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.69% Total : 26.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 52 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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