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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Sep 9, 2021 at 11.30pm UK

Uruguay
1 - 0
Ecuador

Pereiro (90+2')
Bentancur (66'), Nandez (76')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Castillo (59')

Preview: Uruguay vs. Ecuador - prediction, team news, lineups

By Ben Sully | 07 September 2021

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Uruguay and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Diego Godin Enner Valencia

Match preview

Uruguay's Edison Cavani celebrates scoring their first goal with Rodrigo Bentancur on June 29, 2021 © Reuters

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Uruguay World Cup Qualifying - South America form:

Uruguay form (all competitions):

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Ecuador World Cup Qualifying - South America form:

Ecuador form (all competitions):

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Team News

Enner Valencia pictured for Ecuador in 2019 © Reuters

Team News text here

Uruguay possible starting lineup:
Muslera; Nandez, Gimenez, Godin, Piquerez; Valverde, Vecino, Bentancur; Alvarez, De Arrascaeta, Rodriguez

Ecuador possible starting lineup:
Lineup here

SM words green background

We say: Uruguay 3-1 Ecuador

Justification for the result

Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 62.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 11.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.35%) and 3-0 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.17%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 20.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Uruguay in this match.