Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 84.33%. A draw had a probability of 10.5% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 5.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.33%) and 4-0 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.94%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-2 (1.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Liverpool in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.
Result | ||
Liverpool | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
84.33% ( 0.12) | 10.52% ( 0.02) | 5.15% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 46.23% ( -1.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.68% ( -0.87) | 28.31% ( 0.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.87% ( -1.08) | 49.13% ( 1.08) |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.26% ( -0.13) | 4.74% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
80.81% ( -0.41) | 19.19% ( 0.41) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.53% ( -1.2) | 51.47% ( 1.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.34% ( -0.81) | 85.66% ( 0.81) |
Score Analysis |
Liverpool | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
3-0 @ 11.52% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.37) 4-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.31) 4-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.11) 6-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.11) 6-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.07) 7-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.91% Total : 84.31% | 1-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.64% Total : 10.52% | 1-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.89% Total : 5.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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