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Premier League | Gameweek 35
May 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
Craven Cottage
Leicester logo

Fulham
5 - 3
Leicester

Willian (10', 70'), Vinicius (18'), Cairney (44', 51')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Barnes (59', 89'), Maddison (81' pen.)
Barnes (24'), Maddison (58'), Soumare (70')

The Match

Match Report

Leicester City's Premier League survival hopes suffer possibly their most damaging blow yet in a chaotic 5-3 defeat to mid-table Fulham at Craven Cottage.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Fulham and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 1-0 Fulham
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 2-2 Everton
Monday, May 1 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 36.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.

Result
FulhamDrawLeicester City
38.33% (0.022999999999996 0.02) 24.94%36.72% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.6% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)45.4% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.26% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)67.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.56% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)23.44% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.55% (0.012999999999998 0.01)57.44% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.7% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)24.3% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.32% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)58.67% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fulham 38.33%
    Leicester City 36.72%
    Draw 24.93%
FulhamDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 8.48% (0.0029999999999983 0)
1-0 @ 8.26% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 5.99% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.05%
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 38.33%
1-1 @ 11.68%
2-2 @ 6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.93%
1-2 @ 8.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.06% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 5.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.69% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 36.72%

How you voted: Fulham vs Leicester

Fulham
45.8%
Draw
25.4%
Leicester City
28.9%
142
Head to Head
Jan 3, 2023 7.45pm
Feb 3, 2021 6pm
gameweek 22
Fulham
0-2
Leicester

Reed (24'), Aina (59'), Cavaleiro (89')
Iheanacho (17'), Justin (44')
Mendy (72')
Nov 30, 2020 5.30pm
gameweek 10
Leicester
1-2
Fulham
Barnes (86')
Lookman (30'), Cavaleiro (38' pen.)
Reed (18'), Adarabioyo (89')
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
gameweek 30
Leicester
3-1
Fulham
Tielemans (21'), Vardy (78', 86')
Ayite (51')
Babel (55'), Bryan (60')
Dec 5, 2018 7.45pm
gameweek 15
Fulham
1-1
Leicester
Kamara (42')
Maddison (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal37275589286186
2Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
3Liverpool372310484414379
4Aston Villa37208976562068
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd36166145256-454
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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