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Fiorentina logo
Frosinone logo
Genoa logo
Hellas Verona logo
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Monza
Napoli logo
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Salernitana
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Monza
Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Inter logo

Monza
1 - 5
Inter Milan

Pessina (69' pen.)
Colpani (5'), Birindelli (70')
Palladino (6')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Calhanoglu (12' pen., 60'), Martinez (14', 84' pen.), Thuram (88')
Calhanoglu (58'), Pavard (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Monza and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frosinone 2-3 Monza
Saturday, January 6 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Monza 0-2 Inter Milan

Inter have scored in 27 consecutive Serie A matches - their last goalless league game incidentally came versus Monza, in April 2023 - and that streak should continue. The Nerazzurri can sign off for their sojourn to Saudi Arabia with another win, putting the pressure on closest challengers Juventus to respond. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Monza had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
MonzaDrawInter Milan
27.04% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 25.15% (0.00099999999999767 0) 47.81% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 53.16% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.17% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)49.83% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.17% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)71.82% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.17% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)32.83% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.61% (-0.106 -0.11)69.39% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.13% (0.015000000000001 0.02)20.86% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.44% (0.023000000000003 0.02)53.56% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Monza 27.04%
    Inter Milan 47.8%
    Draw 25.15%
MonzaDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 7.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 6.66% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.58% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 27.04%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 6.85% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 10.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.37% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 8.41% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 4.39% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.92% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.72% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 47.8%

How you voted: Monza vs Inter Milan

Monza
11.7%
Draw
6.7%
Inter Milan
81.7%
60
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Inter Milan
2-0
Monza
Martinez (8', 76')
Martinez (32')

Caldirola (41')
Apr 15, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Monza
2-2
Inter Milan
Ciurria (11'), Dumfries (90+3' og.)
Darmian (10'), Martinez (22')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta372161070393169
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina371691258441457
9Napoli381314115548753
10Torino381314113636053
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16Empoli3899202954-2536
17CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917


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