Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for Monza had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fiorentina in this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Fiorentina |
34.5% ( -0.01) | 25.99% ( 0) | 39.51% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 54.05% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.68% ( -0.03) | 50.31% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.74% ( -0.03) | 72.26% ( 0.02) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.1% ( -0.02) | 27.89% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.49% ( -0.02) | 63.51% ( 0.02) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.96% ( -0.02) | 25.04% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.28% ( -0.02) | 59.71% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.69% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 34.5% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.7% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.95% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.09% 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 39.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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