Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 64.81%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 16.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 3-1 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Inter Miami | Draw | St Louis City |
64.81% ( -2.56) | 18.57% ( 1.01) | 16.62% ( 1.55) |
Both teams to score 60.71% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.14% ( -1.76) | 32.86% ( 1.76) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.44% ( -2.06) | 54.56% ( 2.06) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.42% ( -1.05) | 9.58% ( 1.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.95% ( -2.53) | 32.05% ( 2.53) |
St Louis City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.15% ( 0.69) | 32.85% ( -0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.58% ( 0.76) | 69.42% ( -0.76) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Miami | Draw | St Louis City |
2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.34) 3-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.35) 4-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.36) 3-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.41) 4-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.15) 5-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.28) 5-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.29) 5-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.13) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.79% Total : 64.81% | 1-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.53) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.29) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 18.57% | 1-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.37) 0-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.38) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.91% Total : 16.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
6 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |