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Major League Soccer
May 5, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
New York Red Bulls

Inter Miami
6 - 2
NY Red Bulls

Rojas (48', 62'), Messi (50'), Suarez (68', 75', 81')
Aviles (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vanzeir (30'), Forsberg (90+7' pen.)
Tolkin (25'), Duncan (38'), Carmona (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-1 Vancouver
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 4-2 New York Red Bulls

The Red Bulls embarrassed Miami when they squared off in March, and that will likely be in the back of the minds of the Herons when they take the field on Saturday, and we believe that added motivation will power Messi and company to another big victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 55.55%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 22.73% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawNew York Red Bulls
55.55% (5.172 5.17) 21.72% (-1.955 -1.96) 22.73% (-3.217 -3.22)
Both teams to score 60.1% (3.07 3.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.46% (5.743 5.74)38.53% (-5.743 -5.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.17% (5.823 5.82)60.83% (-5.824 -5.82)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.17% (3.825 3.83)13.83% (-3.826 -3.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.81% (7.082 7.08)41.18% (-7.082 -7.08)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.74% (0.488 0.49)30.25% (-0.489 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.57% (0.581 0.58)66.42% (-0.58199999999999 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 55.55%
    New York Red Bulls 22.73%
    Draw 21.72%
Inter MiamiDrawNew York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.162 0.16)
1-0 @ 8.28% (-1.135 -1.14)
2-0 @ 8.19% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.46% (0.891 0.89)
3-0 @ 5.4% (0.682 0.68)
3-2 @ 3.86% (0.577 0.58)
4-1 @ 3.19% (0.78 0.78)
4-0 @ 2.67% (0.625 0.63)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.486 0.49)
5-1 @ 1.26% (0.427 0.43)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.347 0.35)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 55.55%
1-1 @ 9.9% (-1.205 -1.21)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.175 0.18)
0-0 @ 4.18% (-1.244 -1.24)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.248 0.25)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.72%
1-2 @ 5.92% (-0.632 -0.63)
0-1 @ 5% (-1.4 -1.4)
0-2 @ 2.99% (-0.785 -0.79)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.217 -0.22)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.1 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.293 -0.29)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 22.73%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs NY Red Bulls

Inter Miami
89.4%
Draw
6.4%
New York Red Bulls
4.3%
47
Head to Head
Mar 23, 2024 6pm
NY Red Bulls
4-0
Inter Miami
Morgan (3', 51', 70'), Carmona (66')

Krivtsov (11'), Suarez (25'), Allen (84')
Aug 27, 2023 12.30am
Jun 1, 2023 1.15am
Inter Miami
0-1
NY Red Bulls

Miller (70')
Barlow (52')
Duncan (8'), Lesesne (9'), Harper (61'), Reyes (70')
Harper (90+4')
Aug 28, 2022 12am
NY Red Bulls
3-1
Inter Miami
Duncan (36'), Long (42'), Tolkin (80')
Duncan (70')
Mota (34')
Pozuelo (29')
May 22, 2022 11pm
Inter Miami
2-0
NY Red Bulls
Lassiter (29'), Taylor (88')
Gregore (23'), Vassilev (54')

Long (60'), Nealis (81'), Nealis (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls168532922729
4New York City FCNY City169252417729
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC177461818025
6Columbus Crew146622113824
7Toronto177372626024
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta164482221116
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1431101127-1610

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd158432720728
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland175573232020
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City153842325-217
12Dallas153481724-713
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas162592431-711
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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