Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Flamengo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vasco 2-1 Vitoria
Sunday, May 12 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, May 12 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 4-0 Bolivar
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%).
Result | ||
Vasco da Gama | Draw | Flamengo |
33.46% ( 0.06) | 26.24% ( -0.01) | 40.29% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 52.99% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.43% ( 0.05) | 51.57% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.63% ( 0.04) | 73.36% ( -0.04) |
Vasco da Gama Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.84% ( 0.06) | 29.16% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.9% ( 0.07) | 65.1% ( -0.07) |
Flamengo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.8% ( -0) | 25.19% ( 0) |