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La Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Atletico Madrid logo

Girona
0 - 1
Atletico


Stuani (90+11'), Gazzaniga (90+12')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Morata (90+1')
Llorente (57'), Savic (66'), De Paul (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Girona and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Getafe 3-2 Girona
Saturday, March 4 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 6-1 Sevilla
Saturday, March 4 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Girona 1-2 Atletico Madrid

This has the potential to be a very tricky match for Atletico due to Girona's home record this season, but the Red and Whites are in impressive form at the moment and will fancy their chances of claiming another three points on Monday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Girona had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
GironaDrawAtletico Madrid
31.82% (0.676 0.68) 26.6% (0.361 0.36) 41.58% (-1.042 -1.04)
Both teams to score 51.37% (-0.868 -0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.58% (-1.235 -1.24)53.42% (1.232 1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.05% (-1.057 -1.06)74.95% (1.053 1.05)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.82% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)31.17% (0.158 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.49% (-0.186 -0.19)67.51% (0.182 0.18)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.64% (-1.084 -1.08)25.36% (1.082 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.85% (-1.511 -1.51)60.15% (1.507 1.51)
Score Analysis
    Girona 31.82%
    Atletico Madrid 41.58%
    Draw 26.59%
GironaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.21% (0.399 0.4)
2-1 @ 7.37% (0.063 0.06)
2-0 @ 5.37% (0.21 0.21)
3-1 @ 2.86% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.09% (0.073 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 31.82%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 7.91% (0.376 0.38)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 10.84% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 8.67% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-2 @ 7.44% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.97% (-0.202 -0.2)
0-3 @ 3.4% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 41.58%

How you voted: Girona vs Atletico

Girona
12.0%
Draw
14.8%
Atletico Madrid
73.1%
216
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3.15pm
Apr 2, 2019 6.30pm
Jan 16, 2019 6.30pm
Round of 16
Atletico
3-3
Girona
Kalinic (12'), Correa (66'), Griezmann (84')
Hernandez (69'), Griezmann (85')
Fernandez (37'), Stuani (59'), Doumbia (88')
Iraizoz (90'), Porro (90')
Jan 9, 2019 6.30pm
Round of 16
Girona
1-1
Atletico
Lozano (34')
Griezmann (9')
Montero (27'), Godin (67')
Dec 2, 2018 3.15pm
Girona
1-1
Atletico
Stuani (45' pen.)
Ramalho (82' og.)
Griezmann (17'), Koke (41'), Partey (72'), Costa (89'), Niguez (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid38298187266195
2Barcelona38267579443585
3GironaGirona38256785463981
4Atletico MadridAtletico382441070432776
5Athletic Bilbao381911861372468
6Real Sociedad3816121051391260
7Real BetisBetis38141594845357
8Villarreal381411136565053
9Valencia381310154045-549
10AlavesAlaves381210163646-1046
11Osasuna38129174556-1145
12Getafe381013154254-1243
13Celta Vigo381011174657-1141
14Sevilla381011174854-641
15Mallorca38816143344-1140
16Las PalmasLas Palmas381010183347-1440
17Rayo Vallecano38814162948-1938
RCadizCadiz38615172655-2933
RAlmeria38312234375-3221
RGranada3849253879-4121


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