Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Girona had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
31.82% ( 0.68) | 26.6% ( 0.36) | 41.58% ( -1.04) |
Both teams to score 51.37% ( -0.87) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.58% ( -1.24) | 53.42% ( 1.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.05% ( -1.06) | 74.95% ( 1.05) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.82% ( -0.16) | 31.17% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.49% ( -0.19) | 67.51% ( 0.18) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.64% ( -1.08) | 25.36% ( 1.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.85% ( -1.51) | 60.15% ( 1.51) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.96% Total : 31.82% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.41% Total : 41.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |