MX23RW : Wednesday, May 29 02:06:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 24
Feb 2, 2024 at 2pm UK
Antakya Ataturk Stadi

Hatayspor
3 - 1
Karagumruk

Massanga (41', 90+5'), Strandberg (51' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lasagna (86')
Ceccherini (48'), Keles (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Hatayspor and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Adana Demirspor 0-1 Hatayspor
Saturday, January 27 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 4-0 Caykur Rizespor
Sunday, January 28 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Hatayspor 1-0 Fatih Karagumruk

Karagumruk's away form has been abysmal this season and this will give Hatayspor the upper hand in this fixture. The Star of the South will be looking to convert their home draws into wins, and this is the perfect opponent for them to achieve that. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.

Result
HataysporDrawFatih Karagumruk
48.88% (0.063000000000002 0.06) 24.52% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 26.59% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 54.81% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.52% (0.048000000000002 0.05)47.48% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.31% (0.042999999999999 0.04)69.69% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.53% (0.044000000000011 0.04)19.47% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.66% (0.071999999999996 0.07)51.33% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.06% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)31.94% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.61% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)68.39% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hatayspor 48.88%
    Fatih Karagumruk 26.59%
    Draw 24.52%
HataysporDrawFatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 10.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 8.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.12% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 48.88%
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.22% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.52%
0-1 @ 7.1% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.63% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.05% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.06%
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 26.59%

How you voted: Hatayspor vs Karagumruk

Hatayspor
75.0%
Draw
16.7%
Fatih Karagumruk
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 5
Karagumruk
0-0
Hatayspor
Sturaro (59'), Mendes (62'), Yalcin (90+9')
Lamkel Ze (45'), Kardesler (90+9')
Apr 16, 2023 5pm
Oct 15, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 10
Karagumruk
3-0
Hatayspor
Caulker (36'), Borini (45+3'), Diagne (90+8' pen.)
Mar 12, 2022 10.30am
Gameweek 29
Hatayspor
3-0
Karagumruk
Lobzhanidze (29'), El Kaabi (34', 58')
Oct 24, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 10
Karagumruk
1-1
Hatayspor
Pesic (38')
Eggen Hedenstad (35'), Balkovec (69'), Mor (87'), Torun (90+4')
Eggen Hedenstad (88')
El Kaabi (30')
Corekci (29'), Boudjemaa (90+4'), Ribeiro (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CGalatasarayGalatasaray383332922666102
2Fenerbahce38316199316899
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor382141369501967
4Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul381871357431461
5BesiktasBesiktas38168145247556
6KasimpasaKasimpasa38168146265-356
7SivassporSivasspor381412124754-754
8AlanyasporAlanyaspor381216105350352
9Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor38148164858-1050
10AntalyasporAntalyaspor381213134449-549
11Adana Demirspor381014145461-744
12GaziantepGaziantep38128185057-744
13Samsunspor381110174252-1043
14KayserisporKayserispor381112154457-1342
15Hatayspor38914154552-741
16KonyasporKonyaspor38914154053-1341
RFatih KaragumrukKaragumruk381010184952-340
RAnkaragucuAnkaragucu38816144652-640
RPendikspor38910194273-3137
RIstanbulspor3847272780-5316


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