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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 10
Oct 15, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Vefa Stadı

Karagumruk
3 - 0
Hatayspor

Caulker (36'), Borini (45+3'), Diagne (90+8' pen.)
Durmaz (11'), Nicholas (38'), Biraschi (81')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Oksuz (21'), Ergun (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Hatayspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Last Game: Fenerbahce 5-4 Karagumruk
Sunday, October 9 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

Hatayspor

All competitions
Last Game: Hatayspor 1-0 Alanyaspor
Sunday, October 9 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fatih Karagumruk 0-1 Hatayspor

 Only one point separates the sides heading into this tie, so a closely-fought contest is set to take place at the Ataturk Olympic Stadium. However, we think Hatayspor's dream start under Demirel will continue here against a Fatih Karagumruk side that have not won in five games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 64.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 15.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawHatayspor
64.43% (0.73399999999999 0.73) 20.34% (-0.224 -0.22) 15.23% (-0.51 -0.51)
Both teams to score 50.87% (-0.462 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)44.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)66.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.05% (0.21400000000001 0.21)12.95% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.58% (0.433 0.43)39.41% (-0.434 -0.43)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.44% (-0.67599999999999 -0.68)41.56% (0.677 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.95% (-0.597 -0.6)78.05% (0.59800000000001 0.6)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 64.43%
    Hatayspor 15.23%
    Draw 20.34%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawHatayspor
2-0 @ 11.24% (0.18 0.18)
1-0 @ 11% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.66% (0.183 0.18)
3-1 @ 6.73% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.92% (0.124 0.12)
4-1 @ 3.44% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.039 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.6% (0.063 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.41% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 64.43%
1-1 @ 9.66% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.38% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 20.34%
0-1 @ 4.72% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-2 @ 4.24% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-2 @ 2.07% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 15.23%

Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 10.30am
Hatayspor
3-0
Karagumruk
Lobzhanidze (29'), El Kaabi (34', 58')
Oct 24, 2021 11.30am
Karagumruk
1-1
Hatayspor
Pesic (38')
Eggen Hedenstad (35'), Balkovec (69'), Mor (87'), Torun (90+4')
Eggen Hedenstad (88')
El Kaabi (30')
Corekci (29'), Boudjemaa (90+4'), Ribeiro (90+6')
Apr 6, 2021 2pm
Karagumruk
1-0
Hatayspor
Sobiech (70')
Biglia (62')

Aabid (78')
Dec 12, 2020 10.30am
Hatayspor
3-1
Karagumruk
Ilgaz (11'), Boupendza (75', 83')
Santos (36')
Durmaz (65')
Roco (19'), Viviano (76'), Sabo (77'), N'Diaye (84'), Durmaz (88')
N'Diaye (86'), Sabo (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CGalatasarayGalatasaray383332922666102
2Fenerbahce38316199316899
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor382141369501967
4Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul381871357431461
5BesiktasBesiktas38168145247556
6KasimpasaKasimpasa38168146265-356
7SivassporSivasspor381412124754-754
8AlanyasporAlanyaspor381216105350352
9Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor38148164858-1050
10AntalyasporAntalyaspor381213134449-549
11Adana Demirspor381014145461-744
12GaziantepGaziantep38128185057-744
13Samsunspor381110174252-1043
14KayserisporKayserispor381112154457-1342
15Hatayspor38914154552-741
16KonyasporKonyaspor38914154053-1341
RFatih KaragumrukKaragumruk381010184952-340
RAnkaragucuAnkaragucu38816144652-640
RPendikspor38910194273-3137
RIstanbulspor3847272780-5316
> Turkish Super Lig Full Table


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