Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Monza had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Atalanta BC |
30.99% ( 0.02) | 25.2% ( -0.17) | 43.81% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 55.53% ( 0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.12% ( 0.76) | 47.88% ( -0.76) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.94% ( 0.7) | 70.06% ( -0.69) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.05% ( 0.39) | 28.95% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.17% ( 0.48) | 64.83% ( -0.48) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.16% ( 0.4) | 21.84% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.93% ( 0.6) | 55.07% ( -0.6) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Atalanta BC |
1-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.01% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 30.99% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.6% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.4% Total : 43.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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