Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 67.15%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Monza had a probability of 13.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Monza |
67.15% ( -0.03) | 18.87% ( 0.01) | 13.98% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.71% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.97% ( -0.01) | 40.03% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.61% ( -0.01) | 62.39% ( 0.01) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.99% ( -0.01) | 11% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.71% ( -0.02) | 35.29% ( 0.02) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.23% ( 0.02) | 40.77% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.65% ( 0.02) | 77.35% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Monza |
2-0 @ 10.92% 1-0 @ 9.9% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.21% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.98% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.96% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.79% 5-1 @ 1.76% ( -0) Other @ 4.13% Total : 67.15% | 1-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.87% | 0-1 @ 4.03% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.81% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 1.65% Total : 13.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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