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Serie A
Lazio logo
Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 14, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Olimpico
Lecce logo

Lazio
1 - 0
Lecce

Anderson (58')
Zaccagni (45'), Guendouzi (77'), Vecino (89'), Immobile (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gendrey (45'), Venuti (75'), Ramadani (81'), Pongracic (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Roma
Wednesday, January 10 at 5pm in Coppa Italia

Lecce

All competitions
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Cagliari
Saturday, January 6 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Lazio 2-0 Lecce

 It is no coincidence that Lazio's improved form has arrived after re-finding last season's defensive steel. As Lecce often lack punch - particularly away from home - the home side should earn some revenge for their opening-day defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 16.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.48%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lazio in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lazio.

Result
LazioDrawLecce
58.27% (-0.143 -0.14) 24.87% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 16.85% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Both teams to score 41.26% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.13% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)58.88% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.63% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)79.37% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.81% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)20.19% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.5% (-0.107 -0.11)52.5% (0.107 0.11)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.7% (0.108 0.11)48.3% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.55% (0.081 0.08)83.45% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 58.27%
    Lecce 16.85%
    Draw 24.87%
LazioDrawLecce
1-0 @ 15.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.48% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.08%
3-0 @ 6.66% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.66% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.76% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 58.27%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.31% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 24.87%
0-1 @ 7.1% (0.029 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.13% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.58% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 1% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 16.85%

How you voted: Lazio vs Lecce

Lazio
73.3%
Draw
15.6%
Lecce
11.1%
45
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Lecce
2-1
Lazio
Almqvist (85'), Di Francesco (87')
Espeto (68'), Gonzalez (80'), Pongracic (80')
Immobile (26')
Isaksen (71'), Pellegrini (90+4')
> Preview
May 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
Lazio
2-2
Lecce
Immobile (34'), Milinkovic-Savic (90+4')
Oudin (45+2', 51')
> Preview
Jan 4, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 16
Lecce
2-1
Lazio
Espeto (57'), Colombo (71')
Immobile (14')
> Preview
Jul 7, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 31
Lecce
2-1
Lazio
> Preview
Nov 10, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 12
Lazio
4-2
Lecce
Correa (30', 80'), Milinkovic-Savic (62'), Immobile (77' pen.)
Leiva (34'), Immobile (67')
Lapadula (40'), La Mantia (85')
Mancosu (4'), Lapadula (59'), Lucioni (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta372161070393169
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina371691258441457
9Napoli381314115548753
10Torino381314113636053
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16Empoli3899202954-2536
17CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917
> Serie A Full Table


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