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Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 30, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Gewiss Stadium
Lecce logo

Atalanta
1 - 0
Lecce

Lookman (58')
Zappacosta (35'), Holm (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ramadani (82'), Oudin (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 1-0 Atalanta
Saturday, December 23 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Lecce
Saturday, December 23 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 1-1 Lecce

A total of five draws from eight on their travels shows how hard Lecce can be to beat, so Atalanta may have to settle for a point in their final game of 2023. The hosts are often caught out at the back, and their visitors could take advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 67.73%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 12.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.05%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawLecce
67.73% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02) 19.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 12.35% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 44.55% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)48.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)70.58% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.68% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)13.32% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.83% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)40.17% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.39% (0.031999999999996 0.03)48.61% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.33% (0.021999999999998 0.02)83.67% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 67.73%
    Lecce 12.35%
    Draw 19.92%
Atalanta BCDrawLecce
2-0 @ 13.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 13.05%
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 8.84% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.38% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 4.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-1 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.8% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.3%
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 67.73%
1-1 @ 9.42% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 6.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 3.42% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 19.92%
0-1 @ 4.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 3.4% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 1.68% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 12.35%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Lecce

Atalanta BC
74.0%
Draw
18.0%
Lecce
8.0%
50
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 23
Atalanta
1-2
Lecce
Hojlund (87')
Ceesay (4'), Blin (74')
Nov 9, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Lecce
2-1
Atalanta
Zapata (40')
Mar 1, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 26
Lecce
2-7
Atalanta
Saponara (29'), Donati (40')
Lucioni (66'), Saponara (70')
Donati (17' og.), Zapata (22', 54', 62'), Ilicic (47'), Muriel (87'), Malinovskiy (90')
Hateboer (45'), Luis Palomino (57')
Oct 6, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 7
Atalanta
3-1
Lecce
Zapata (35'), Papu (40'), Gosens (56')
Kjaer (63'), de Roon (73')
Lucioni (86')
Lucioni (62'), Majer (84'), Rispoli (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta372161070393169
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina371691258441457
9Napoli381314115548753
10Torino381314113636053
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16Empoli3899202954-2536
17CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917


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