Serie A | Gameweek 21
Feb 14, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Bologna2 - 0Fiorentina
We said: Bologna 1-1 Fiorentina
Fiorentina may not complete a hat-trick of wins over Bologna this season, as the Rossoblu are resilient on home soil and seem to have re-found their groove. As a result, the Viola will stay two points behind their old rivals in a fascinating race for European places. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 39.6% | 27.41% | 32.99% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 49.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
